Random Irritations

[PaulMdj]

Members of a forum who don’t understand what a forum is:
Noun:
A meeting or medium where ideas and views on a particular issue can be exchanged.
"we hope these pages act as a forum for debate"

 

[cliveb]

I believe the 10% figure actually means that 10% of your area will experience rain and not that there is a 10% chance of rain in your area

My understanding is that it means of the thousands of forecasts they run using very slightly adjusted starting parameters, 10% of them predict rain.

Note that Met Office never declares 0% or 100%. Even if none or all of the runs predict rain, they will report ≤5% or ≥95%

 

[SwingsitlikeHogan]

My understanding is that it means of the thousands of forecasts they run using very slightly adjusted starting parameters, 10% of them predict rain.

Note that Met Office never declares 0% or 100%. Even if none or all of the runs predict rain, they will report ≤5% or ≥95%

The Met Office ‘deep dive’ analyses that they put up on YouTube every week or so are really interesting and insightful into understanding the complexities of the British maritime weather. Part of an analysis is the spread of possible forecasts (parametric Monte Carlo simulations?), and the uncertainty around the forecast they publish.

 

[HomerJSimpson]

Irrespective of the way it is run, frustrating that you are standing there in rain and nothing predicted. Surely radar can see the rain tracking

 

[backwoodsman]

According to the Met Office info (for their forecasts, that is) 10% chance of rain means just that - ie in the area in question, there is a 10% probability that it will rain at some point during the period being forecast.

Which to me, means it very likely wont rain, but it's possible it might. Conversely, I take 90% chance as being you're likely to get wet - but you may be lucky.

 

[Arthur Wedge]

According to the Met Office info (for their forecasts, that is) 10% chance of rain means just that - ie in the area in question, there is a 10% probability that it will rain at some point during the period being forecast.

Which to me, means it very likely wont rain, but it's possible it might. Conversely, I take 90% chance as being you're likely to get wet - but you may be lucky.

I always use this when checking the weather



It gives a very good forecast on what might be coming

 

[YandaB]

I always use this when checking the weather

View attachment 54217

It gives a very good forecast on what might be coming

Totally agree, you can make your own forecast from this.

 

[chrisd]

So I get at least 4 text messages to attend my doctors surgery for a blood pressure test, that they booked without my knowledge, including one text last evening.

This morning I get a cancellation and that I've to ring them to make another appointment.
Brewery and p up spring to mind

 

[HomerJSimpson]

So I get at least 4 text messages to attend my doctors surgery for a blood pressure test, that they booked without my knowledge, including one text last evening.

This morning I get a cancellation and that I've to ring them to make another appointment.
Brewery and p up spring to mind

Sounds as organised as my surgery. Had my annual diabetic review last week and when I called them to arrange initially the receptionist arranged a follow up phone consultation with a doctor. When i got to the review and asked the nurse to remind me of the follow up as I hadn't been notified it wasn't showing on her system and apparently it is down to me to now book it

 

[Imurg]

Totally agree, you can make your own forecast from this.

I just assume that, if it says 10% chance of precipitation, I'm getting soaked.....
No disappointment and more likely to be pleased.....

 

[GreiginFife]

I just assume that, if it says 10% chance of precipitation, I'm getting soaked.....
No disappointment and more likely to be pleased.....

In Scotland it generally means 10% of the rain 100% of the time…

 

[AmandaJR]

Watching them dry/clean the clay court lines with a white towel. WHITE?! Are they quite mad??!!

 

[arnieboy]

In Scotland it generally means 10% of the rain 100% of the time…

Forecast for the south coast this morning was heavy rain from 10.00am. Finishing our round at 12.30 it just started to drizzle.

 

[Alan Clifford]

I believe the 10% figure actually means that 10% of your area will experience rain and not that there is a 10% chance of rain in your area

Last time I tried to work that out, I think I discovered it means different things in different countries. But both interpretations seem meaningless to me. 80% seems a lot but if there's only going to 0.1 mm in an hour, basically the reality is that the air is going to be slightly damp.

 

[Hobbit]

This is what a cloudy day looks like in southern Spain.

 

[PaulMdj]

I believe the 10% figure actually means that 10% of your area will experience rain and not that there is a 10% chance of rain in your area

That’s how I heard the Met Office explain it, ie, 100% chance of rain in 10% of the area

 

[Imurg]

Middle of July
2 3/4 hours until sunset
It's as black as night out there and we need the lights on....

 

[SteveW86]

Middle of July
2 3/4 hours until sunset
It's as black as night out there and we need the lights on....

Middle of July and it wouldn’t surprise me if there’s a load of courses shut tomorrow because they are waterlogged

 

[HomerJSimpson]

Middle of July
2 3/4 hours until sunset
It's as black as night out there and we need the lights on....

And been raining steadily for the last 3 hours. That water table is going to be very high before winter begins

 

[Pin-seeker]

The video of Paddy Pimblett in the pub celebrating England losing to Spain(he’s English).
Really hope Bobby Green KO’s him at UFC 304