AussieKB
Well-known member
Hope you are not going for more Money.....or you will have to put your LIV gear on.I'm not unhappy here, its just a bit tedious when you're excited for a new job and still stuck in your old one
Random Irritations
- Thread starter Blue in Munich
- Start date
Fade and Die
Medal Winner
Wou
Would always prefer our leaders to talk the country up than to talk it into a recession.
Bazz
Q-School Graduate
How fast Teams wants to tell everyone I'm not doing any work, just stay green ffs.
SwingsitlikeHogan
Major Champion
The BBC deep dive forecasts on their YouTube channel are really informative - and they always quote the European Centre forecasts as well as their regular forecasters. Really good for understanding the level of uncertainty associated with any forecast and why. Indeed I watched a standard forecast last night in which the position of the low coming our way forvFriday was shown for most likely (60%) and two outliers (20%).
D-S
Well-known member
I would like them to give a forecast strength. I’ve no problem with them saying that the forecast for the day is particularly fraught with variables and could well go either way or we are really certain that what we are predicting will be right. I won’t judge them. However when they forecast 100% chance of rain and there is none, they undermine their credibility. If they predict 100% chance of rain with a forecast ‘strength’ of say 50% I will have a better idea.
Bdill93
Undisputed King of FOMO
I bleed Legion 13
cliveb
Head Pro
The Met Office does just that.
Although they never say 0% or 100%, instead saying <5% or >95% to give themselves some wriggle room for when (not IF) they are wrong.
Which they frequently are.
Sid Rixon IV
Head Pro
13 weeks was my required notice but I was made redundant with 8 months notice!
7 months later my boss realised he'd not served the notice which had to be face to face. He said "Unfortunately, Im now on holiday for two weeks". I quickly said "So am I in two weeks" to which he immediately replied "I thought you might be".
That was practically a year's notice. I didn't care. I was "working from home" or, as I referred to it, "early, early retirement"
Sid Rixon IV
Head Pro
Ar least we have the bust-up to look forward to.Trump and Musk.
Edit… and Hatton.
GreiginFife
Money List Winner
Yeah, if that’s what you want to believe. Not sure there’s been more than 30,000 provable lies from the current bods.As opposed to the narcissistic sociopathic liar we have in control of our destiny at present?
Do I like the current UK incumbents? Absolutely not. Do I trust them, absolutely not.
But neither am I a fan of extremists and that is what your buddy over the water is.
D-S
Well-known member
But isn’t the ‘more or less than’ just referring to the chance/probability of rain? I would like a strength of forecast rating overall. Some days they have to have a greater certainty of their overall forecast than others?
Arthur Wedge
Well-known member
Weather forecast will never be a guarantee mainly because of the ever changing winds and weather cycles we have surrounding the UK - the weather can change at the drop of the hat within the UK
Neilds
Assistant Pro
Someone on a local news website is claiming hardship after they lost a lot of money when the travel company they booked with went bust. Yes, they lost the holiday but the money wouldn't be available now if they had gone on the holiday (in fact they may have spent more). If you couldn't afford it, then you shouldn't have booked in the first place.
Locked for a short while whilst I remove the political posts.
Guys, you know you’re bringing up politicians and those with political leanings is against the rules.
There’s been a number of reports from members about those posts.
Future posts will see warnings issued.
There’s been a number of reports from members about those posts.
Future posts will see warnings issued.
GreiginFife
Money List Winner
It was me, and I commented on character and made no comment on policy or politics.
If commenting on character is banned then we're going to have a lot of reported posts.
The fact that the subject of the character is a politician is a mere by product and if people can't separate the two then that's an issue with them, not the commentary.
If commenting on character is banned then we're going to have a lot of reported posts.
The fact that the subject of the character is a politician is a mere by product and if people can't separate the two then that's an issue with them, not the commentary.
Arthur Wedge
Well-known member
Sorry can I confirm we can’t even mention Elon Musk anymore ?
If it's in a political context then no. That includes comments that are not overtly political but are clearly referencing political comments that Musk has made.
Musk has moved himself into politics so it is what it is.
Comments about Musk that have no political angle, fine
Sid Rixon IV
Head Pro
cliveb
Head Pro
My understanding is that the forecast is done by running the model with thousands of slightly different starting conditions.
If half of the runs forecast rain, then that's a 50% chance.
That seems to me to be the measure of certainty you're asking for.
