Theresa May - Not up to the Job of PM?

D

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As do the Welsh voting Plaid albeit 4 MPs but in a close election not insignificant. Think you're missing the point - if SNP do really well May is most likely PM yes, but not in Scotland.
Sturgeon is quiet presently, expect like the rest of us she is watching May's ineptitude v her rabid righters, Corbyn's unelectability, islamophobia, anti semitism etc etc help her cause.

Rather than me missing the point l think you are overstating the likelihood of Sturgeon ever securing independence for Scotland.
 

Doon frae Troon

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And the irony is that by voting for the SNP they increase the likelihood of Mrs May being PM.

Must be something in the water in Scotland.

Under the present system that would be the best option for an Independent Scotland..….I see UKIP/far right support is rising again in England and Wales, the irony of that is not missed on your comment.;)
 
D

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Under the present system that would be the best option for an Independent Scotland..….I see UKIP/far right support is rising again in England and Wales, the irony of that is not missed on your comment.;)

What evidence is there to suggest a resurgence in support for UKIP?

And as for the "far right" that is so far off the mark to be almost laughable.
 
D

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Just type in UKIP resurgence into Google, that will keep you up to date.

Articles in Spectator/Guardian etc etc

As per usual you appear to have read the headlines and not the body of the articles.

In addition neither publication is renowned for its objectivity. To hint at a rise in support for UKIP suits their pro-remain agendas.

And I still see nothing to suggest any significant support for far-right parties.
 

Doon frae Troon

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As per usual you appear to have read the headlines and not the body of the articles.

In addition neither publication is renowned for its objectivity. To hint at a rise in support for UKIP suits their pro-remain agendas.

And I still see nothing to suggest any significant support for far-right parties.

My reading is fine whilst yours seems to have missed the polls that have UKIP support up to 8% and running level with the Lib Dems in England and Wales. Probably due to a hard Brexit bounce.
 
D

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My reading is fine whilst yours seems to have missed the polls that have UKIP support up to 8% and running level with the Lib Dems in England and Wales. Probably due to a hard Brexit bounce.

Yet again you are selective in your quotes.

One poll showed support for UKIP at 8%. Five subsequent polls show it at 5 - 6%.

In any event their current level is way below their pre-referendum support.

I still haven't seen seen any evidence to corroborate your claim for parties of the far right.
 

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My reading is fine whilst yours seems to have missed the polls that have UKIP support up to 8% and running level with the Lib Dems in England and Wales. Probably due to a hard Brexit bounce.

The trend, July '17 to July '18 shows Labour down from 42% to 39%. Tories from 39% to 39%. UKIP from 4% to 5%.

There isn't enough polls in for the last few weeks to give an accurate projection but all the noise is for UKIP to pick up at least one more % point. Labour haven't been hurt in the slightest by the wreath laying controversy as the Corbyn supporters are pretty entrenched in their views, and those making the most noise about it are Corbyn detractors anyway.

The big test will come in the next few weeks. The EU are making concessionary noises about the Chequers' Plan, which many will see as a huge positive, assuming Brexit will happen. The Tory ERG group have a growing support in the party but, equally, if they damage the party too much it will be to the greater benefit of Labour. If Labour becomes more centre left they will walk the next election.
 

MegaSteve

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Not nowadays, independent polls of over 1000 participants are pretty accurate.

Loaded question commissioned polls are not so good, but generally good for a laugh.
Hence a dead dog being the best option for PM.

Sorry Doon, but really don't believe there's an independent anything where politics is involved...

We'll all naturally pick out the bits that best suit our POV...
 

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The big test will come in the next few weeks. The EU are making concessionary noises about the Chequers' Plan, which many will see as a huge positive, assuming Brexit will happen. The Tory ERG group have a growing support in the party but, equally, if they damage the party too much it will be to the greater benefit of Labour. If Labour becomes more centre left they will walk the next election.

I expect the ERG mob to, pretty much, disband once Brexit is 'finalised'. Their goal (Brexit) will have been achieved, even if many 'withdrawl agreements' will have been deferred!

EU has to make concessions imo! It actually has more to lose than the UK! The additional burden that UK will require, to replace much of the 'beauracracy' currently performed by the EU (partially funded by UK), will be required whatever form Brexit takes.

May has to be seen to be 'leading' this - at least from a UK perspective - something she's not altogether convincing with (or convinced about herself!) imo. However, with such 'damaged' opposition as Labour currently is, I don't believe she is in real danger from that side. As long as she can convince enough within her own party that she is the one to 'manage' Brexit, she will be safe! But considering some of the tactics and actions for recent votes, there could be some more precarious votes ahead!
 

Hobbit

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Sorry Doon, but really don't believe there's an independent anything where politics is involved...

We'll all naturally pick out the bits that best suit our POV...

Looking at the polling company yougov they've been pretty much spot on with their polls in the last 2 years. And with regards to the Brexit vote they were predicting 52 'v' 48 in the weeks up to the vote. They're worth a look.
 

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