SwingsitlikeHogan
Major Champion
Cameron, Clegg and Osbourne said no customs union and no single market numerous times BEFORE the referendum. Boris, Gove and Farage also spoke of of Leave meaning no CU and no SM. They spoke of negotiating a good deal with the EU. And what deal did May come back with?
I don't see why No Deal shouldn't be spoken about, and I think thats a good thing. If the EU think the UK won't leave without a deal they know that they can put a poor deal on the table and the UK will either accept or not leave.
What can the UK offer the EU for a decent deal. Money, access to the fishing grounds, equitable tariffs/no tariffs/equitable pricing on agri goods. And what did May agree to? You can have £39bn, you can have continued access to the fishing grounds, you can have everything you've asked for with regards to agri goods(inc. a monitoring organisation set up by the UK that reports to the EU on pricing and standards, and any deviation will see the UK in the European courts). And the UK got what? Sweet FA apart from a letter to talk about the future relationship - wow!
Just for a second, irrespective of the impact on trade either way, what will the EU most desperately need if the UK leaves the EU? It will need to fill a 14% drop in its income. It will need to find a minimum of £10bn a year. What is the UK's main bargaining chip? We could say its access for businesses but the EU doesn't seem to have a problem cutting them adrift. Its money!
Here's an idea; lets give the EU £39bn, for nothing in return. Lets give them access to the fishing grounds for nothing in return. Lets set up the UK's agriculture totally aligned to the EU, including pricing set by the EU, for nothing in return. OR the UK could say we will buy access to your trade markets at favourable rates, and we will sell you access to our fishing grounds and we will give you a favourable deal that gets pretty close to your CAP. You want money, we want a favourable deal............. and then there's May's BRINO that is not even good enough to call a disgrace.
The EU bluffed the UK with a pair of 2's, and the UK folded on their pair of 2's, giving the pot of gold to the EU.
This is all good and all very well - but we will leave with No Deal because I hear that that is what 17.4m Leave voters asked for when voting Leave. Yes really. They say that what was said before the actual vote was just political posturing. The vote was to Leave or Remain. Nothing else. Indeed I think I saw on Ch4 News this evening that a new poll indicates that 83% of Tory Party Members would have us leave now with no further negotiation whatsoever.
Jolly good. BJ and No Deal 31/10 - bring it on. It's the Will of the People.