Ge 2017

Latest Ashcroft poll has Tories on 43% Labour on 38%.
Calling an election with a 24% lead seemed like the strong and stable thing to do.

FOR SALE

Strong Stable Door
Needs fixing as it cannot close.
May swop for horse.
 
Latest Ashcroft poll has Tories on 43% Labour on 38%.
Calling an election with a 24% lead seemed like the strong and stable thing to do.

FOR SALE

Strong Stable Door
Needs fixing as it cannot close.
May swop for horse.

I'm thinking that we might see a swing of voters back to UKIP - given both the terrible event of this week, and the sight of a not quite so strong and stable May when confronted by a backbencher and electorate backlash against the Dementia Tax - that not looking so good for the negotiations with the EU. An EU that is getting used to the idea of life after the UK and is already sorting out how to adjust, and so an EU that is more likely able to stand up to May and hold out for what it sees as being essential for the EU. And one thing that seems to be essential is that it must maintain the integrity of the EU and the position that EU27 countries are measurably better IN than OUT.
 
I'm thinking that we might see a swing of voters back to UKIP - given both the terrible event of this week, and the sight of a not quite so strong and stable May when confronted by a backbencher and electorate backlash against the Dementia Tax - that not looking so good for the negotiations with the EU. An EU that is getting used to the idea of life after the UK and is already sorting out how to adjust, and so an EU that is more likely able to stand up to May and hold out for what it sees as being essential for the EU. And one thing that seems to be essential is that it must maintain the integrity of the EU and the position that EU27 countries are measurably better IN than OUT.

UKIP calling for an English Parliament, finally found something I can agree with them on.

Another huge lurch to the right for them, trying to win back their 'soft' supporters who went back to the Tories.
 
It seems we have a defence minister who is more interested in pathetic UK political party points scoring than someone who can stand back, make decisions and admit that the UK/USA 'war on terror' in Iran, Syria, Afghanistan and Libya is not working.
 
Andrew Neil is doing a great job of demolishing Corbyn. Corbyn is dodging and weaving like a punch drunk boxer but his reluctance to give honest answers to direct questions is laying bare so many of his questionable beliefs.
 
I'm not watching it so can't comment on what's happening but according to Maxfli on the Jeremy Corbyn thread.......

"Currently getting a roasting off Andrew Neill on bbc1 but staying cool under pressure and answering all questions put, not deflecting any, calm and assured, unflustered, not like his primary opponent! Just saying! ;)"

 
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Corbyn could easily afford his budget - all he needs is a bit of sneaky Quantitative Easing. The ECB seems to be doing it more and more without much thought or effect on the EU's budget planning or devaluation of the Euro.

He just needs to make sure the BoE doesn't get their hands on it like last time. Perhaps they could print enough to hand us all a bundle for Christmas
 
Does anyone care to speculate if a 43% to 38% vote share Con/Lab is likely to get May a bigger majority than she already has or even a majority at all? All depends on marginals I expect?
Cameron got a small majority from a 36.9% vote share last time but Labour only had 30.4% so a 6.5% lead between the 2, only a 5% poll lead currently.
 
Does anyone care to speculate if a 43% to 38% vote share Con/Lab is likely to get May a bigger majority than she already has or even a majority at all? All depends on marginals I expect?
Cameron got a small majority from a 36.9% vote share last time but Labour only had 30.4% so a 6.5% lead between the 2, only a 5% poll lead currently.

According to the BBC website it would be a smaller majority.
 
but I think that part of the point is that it would at least be HER majority, not something she inherited and would kill off those who say that she didnt have her own mandate.

Assuming she gets it of course

I'm not taking anything for granted re the polls
 
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