Brexit - or Article 50: the Phoenix!

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Interesting points that Lord Blackheath tried to raise on the House of Lords only for Lord Blunkett to curtail it.....

From Hansard:

Lord James of Blackheath


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1: Clause 2, page 2, line 30, at end insert “, including what steps have been taken to ensure that United Kingdom sovereignty has been an essential principle in those negotiations and will be in any forthcoming negotiations.”


Lord James of Blackheath (Con)

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My Lords, a week ago, I wrote a letter to the Lord Speaker in which I suggested that in certain circumstances which might occur, such as this morning, the entire House of Lords is ineligible to sit. I do not intend to pursue this point, but I want to explain why it occurs. I think it is important to us.

If the Lisbon treaty is allowed to stand and is not wiped away at midnight on 31 October, we are all, every single man jack of us, in breach of our oath on joining this House because we have allowed the omniscience of Parliament to be reduced by the elimination of the veto which was standing in our benefit until the Lisbon treaty. That has far-reaching consequences which go way beyond us and reach into the Palace and the Crown itself. We need to be aware of those implications. If I am right on that assertion—I have taken it to the Table Office and asked it to think about it, so there must be some professional opinions around—then we would be ineligible to sit today, and it would mean that this Bill cannot pass the House. I am not pursuing that.

What I am going to say is that I think the basis on which we are going forward from here is wrong because we have a situation in which we are facing a choice between remain, the no-go solution and, as came very much into focus in the latter stages of yesterday, the possible resurrection of the May deal. The May deal and remain both carry the same consequence that they would still leave us in breach of our oath. We need to have our oaths restored to us, which would happen if at midnight on 31 October if the Lisbon treaty was wiped away.

The first person we need to be concerned about in that respect is Her Majesty because we have the power of government placed in our hands by the coronation oath which she swore never to diminish, but we have diminished it for her. In those circumstances, do the British public realise they are being asked to consider a situation which might create a position in which Her Majesty would consider it was essential for her to abdicate? If that occurred, would it ever be possible to resurrect the monarch because nobody else could swear the same coronation oath? Let us be realistic about this. My whole criticism of the situation of opposition to no-go at the moment is that we simply have not informed the British public of what is at stake. It goes way beyond this.

We have this wonderful paper called Yellowhammer, which tells us all the dreadful things that will happen if we do go no-go. My secretary has an alternative list that I have complied called the Black Vulture, which is my list of the things that people do not know about which will happen if we do not go no deal. The first is the hazard it creates for the Crown. The second is: will somebody please tell us the truth about the European defence union? This is by far the biggest issue facing the British public and they know nothing about it officially. Can we please have a proper account of what it entails? Is it really true that the Government have entered into private agreements with the European Community that they will, on completion of remain or whatever it is to be, transfer to the European Union in Brussels the entire control of our entire fighting forces, including all their equipment? [Laughter.] Noble Lords may jest, but it has been done and they should check it out. It is too important to ignore. We must know the truth of this. We must have it clear for the whole public to know. I believe it is true, and I think we should be told. I understand that it is intended that the oath of every serving member of our forces will be cancelled and they will be required to undertake a new oath of loyalty to Brussels. I understand that in recent months, we have had a series of people sent from our Armed Forces to create and install the command and control centres to be used for the control of our troops once we have ceased to have any control over their use, application or deployment. It goes beyond this. They are to take control of our intelligence services, the whole core of Five Eyes. They will have MI6 and the Cheltenham monitoring centre, and we will be completely excluded from it under the new arrangements and have no access either to the—

Lord Blunkett (Lab)

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I wonder whether the noble Lord would be prepared to give way just for one moment. I appeal to him to conclude, because it is not in either his interests or the interests of the Committee for him to continue.
 
The more questions that get asked, the more complicated it gets, the more chance of remain. The question itself is so crucial which is why the original question was simple and binary. You really can't have a referendum with one question leading to another question.

(I do know that your opening line is said in jest etc but the type of question matters which is why, I believe, the Electroral Commission set it last time, not politicians.

I agree its impossible to have more than 2 questions when the respondent audience is so big (millions) as statistical normalisation will inevitable bring close results that lie within the expected standard error estimates.

Any sub-set question on the 'leave' option will divide respondents more than Remain because 'remaining' is the status quo and so the any options are more closely related and so it would not lead to actual meaningful questions. Those wanting a 2nd vote know full well that unless you re-run the binary choice the 'leave' options will lead to a low result and, just by the statistics of large numbers, the remain option would 'win'.
 
I have already been accused of not understanding what I was voting for last time, as I was to stupid to understand the arguments (lies on both sides).
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Whether you understood.../was too stupid... is irrelevant, as well as being both offensive and the fault of whichever side (or both) made that accusation!
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Not sure if I could handle Two questions!!
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:ROFLMAO::ROFLMAO:
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Leave / remain has been done ,it should just be WD or ND.
I don't see the point!
If anything (and definitely not a good idea imo) it should be 'This Deal or No Deal' - where 'This Deal' is whatever BoJo can get adjusted from May's Deal! Personally, I'd opt for 'No Deal'. Clean break works best in any 'divorce'!
 
I agree its impossible to have more than 2 questions when the respondent audience is so big (millions) as statistical normalisation will inevitable bring close results that lie within the expected standard error estimates.

Any sub-set question on the 'leave' option will divide respondents more than Remain because 'remaining' is the status quo and so the any options are more closely related and so it would not lead to actual meaningful questions. Those wanting a 2nd vote know full well that unless you re-run the binary choice the 'leave' options will lead to a low result and, just by the statistics of large numbers, the remain option would 'win'.
Not with the single transferable vote system.
 
For the question/statement, "there's too many versions of Leave..."

No there isn't. Leave is easy, you just leave. And that is what should have happened. Both sides walk away on the Friday, and both sides sit around a table on the Monday, as 2 totally separate entities, and discuss areas they want some synergy in. That way both sides are going to the table with a desire and a need for something. Once you have several people each saying what they want, defining a specification is difficult as each of them want something a little different. Add in a good number who aren't negotiating in good faith and you've got chaos.

The current version of trying to sort a Leaving deal for the UK isn't working because the other side is also more than happy to drag it out as long as possible in the hope that, a) it just goes away, and b) its scooping £1bn a month.

A few years ago my eldest son was part of a trade delegation that went to China. They went with 2 things, the EU rule book for trade and the specifications for the products they wanted to sell. The Chinese delegation turned up with their rules, specs and their products. It was all done and dusted within 3 months.

One thing is true, "where there's a will, there's a way." There's too many wills involved.
 
For the question/statement, "there's too many versions of Leave..."

No there isn't. Leave is easy, you just leave. And that is what should have happened. Both sides walk away on the Friday, and both sides sit around a table on the Monday, as 2 totally separate entities, and discuss areas they want some synergy in. That way both sides are going to the table with a desire and a need for something. Once you have several people each saying what they want, defining a specification is difficult as each of them want something a little different. Add in a good number who aren't negotiating in good faith and you've got chaos.

The current version of trying to sort a Leaving deal for the UK isn't working because the other side is also more than happy to drag it out as long as possible in the hope that, a) it just goes away, and b) its scooping £1bn a month.

A few years ago my eldest son was part of a trade delegation that went to China. They went with 2 things, the EU rule book for trade and the specifications for the products they wanted to sell. The Chinese delegation turned up with their rules, specs and their products. It was all done and dusted within 3 months.

One thing is true, "where there's a will, there's a way." There's too many wills involved.
If only TM had read this thread 2 years ago. ;)
 
If only TM had read this thread 2 years ago. ;)

The Oxford English dictionary defines it very simply. People complicate by not wanting the starting point to be a clean break. As soon as someone asked for x,y,z as part of a Leave deal it stopped being Leave, and became almost Leave but not quite.

Two separate entities negotiating is straightforward. As a country subjugated by EU rules it was never going to be even the tiniest bit easy.
 
If only TM had read this thread 2 years ago. ;)
It looks the longer it takes that she did it on purpose.
Or is that giving her to much credit.

Plus the ramifications of staying in hasn’t really been mainstream news.
The Media should spell out what future powers we will give to Brussels.
 
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Gee even Luxembourg is taking the mickey out of us now. What a mess we are.
Surely a 'Tub of Lard' or similar should have been there!

Mind you, having just sent off a 'sample' for the NHS Bowel Cancer Screening programme, I could have provided something to replace Bojo!
 
The EU army seems the obvious one .
If I joined the Army today would I be able to say “ I never joined the EU army I want to leave”.

It’s the ones like this we don’t know about.
What? There is no EU army. Sorry you're just buying into the same old brexit bullcrap that gets peddled around.
 
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