Is there any guide as to which tier places are likely to be in? Suspect theres a chance were in a higher tier here as we come under the same umbrella as Bournemouth these days, and cases have been quite high especially at/near the university
Coronavirus - how is it/has it affected you?
- Thread starter drdel
- Start date
I believe they are going to do it in regions, a bit more blunt, less targetted, this time, and then it depends on numbers and the trend. You can pretty much work it out from there.
I am expecting us to be in tier 3 as we get lumped as a NE region and there are a number of hot spots in the group. The numbers in Northumberland are not great still but we should probably be tier 2 rather than 3.
Anywhere with a university nearby is going to be in trouble so tier 2-3 here you come. The only places in tier 1 will be islands or remote tips of the country. I can't see any regular regions escaping 2 or 3 until mid December at the earliest. Just my reading of it.
I am expecting us to be in tier 3 as we get lumped as a NE region and there are a number of hot spots in the group. The numbers in Northumberland are not great still but we should probably be tier 2 rather than 3.
Anywhere with a university nearby is going to be in trouble so tier 2-3 here you come. The only places in tier 1 will be islands or remote tips of the country. I can't see any regular regions escaping 2 or 3 until mid December at the earliest. Just my reading of it.
Pretty much how I read it. We will be grouped in as easy midlands or even just Lincolnshire but either one puts us in with some high level areas in North Lincolnshire and so I suspect that Tier 2 is coming. Where we are in South Kesteven is not too bad but enough Tier 3 regions bordering us to make us a concern. Not sure many places, if any, will escape being in Tier 2 at least.
assume we'll be in tier 2 at best then, postpone that house hunting trip again lol
- Joined
- Aug 25, 2009
- Messages
- 1,249
Totally agree.
If anyone thinks 2 December is going to be a full lockdown relief then I think they’ll be disappointed. I’m already resigned to being in Tier 3 despite living in a rural area largely untouched by Covid. We were Tier 1 pre lockdown. Unfortunately, the nearby city has two universities and a large population which, from day one, has largely done as it pleased. We’re all about to pay the price.
My expectation is that I won’t be having a pint any time soon, and that when I can it will be with a meal only. And I can’t see that changing before March. These rules, I suspect, will be the last changes now until a vaccine program is almost complete and lockdowns are eased entirely.
If anyone thinks 2 December is going to be a full lockdown relief then I think they’ll be disappointed. I’m already resigned to being in Tier 3 despite living in a rural area largely untouched by Covid. We were Tier 1 pre lockdown. Unfortunately, the nearby city has two universities and a large population which, from day one, has largely done as it pleased. We’re all about to pay the price.
My expectation is that I won’t be having a pint any time soon, and that when I can it will be with a meal only. And I can’t see that changing before March. These rules, I suspect, will be the last changes now until a vaccine program is almost complete and lockdowns are eased entirely.
Also rural and expecting that Staffordshire will be Tier 3 so will golf with the good lady for a while
Last month and Remembrance Day last month gave me a reminder of why we should endure the lockdowns
To give us the life style we endure now as well as a great many who gave their lives there are a great many who gave 6 + years of their life, many of whom were also locked away in POW camps for several years.
There are probably quite a few survivors and do we not owe them the right to enjoy what is left of the rest of their lives.
A few weeks verses many years - hardly compares.
To give us the life style we endure now as well as a great many who gave their lives there are a great many who gave 6 + years of their life, many of whom were also locked away in POW camps for several years.
There are probably quite a few survivors and do we not owe them the right to enjoy what is left of the rest of their lives.
A few weeks verses many years - hardly compares.
Vaccine question @Ethan . Sooner or later another coronavirus is bound to emerge from somewhere (probably the same place as thisnone
) . Although it will be a different virus to Covid will all the research and knowledge gained from this give us a decent headstart in producing another vaccine or will it be back to square one?
) . Although it will be a different virus to Covid will all the research and knowledge gained from this give us a decent headstart in producing another vaccine or will it be back to square one?
The other factor is how long vaccine immunity lasts. I think it may well last some years, but as we work through that time period, each time a new mutation is identified, the vaccine can be updated to cover it, so unvaccinated people (depending where the national programme is cut off) get complete coverage, and the booster will probably only be needed by a subset of the previously vaccinated population. We won't be back to square one.
The Govt are working hard to say that the vaccines are not a magic bullet, mainly because they don't want people to get complacent now with the finish line in sight. But at the levels of efficacy announced, and effectiveness in older people, they really are a massive game changer. We just need to make sure we keep our noses clean until we actually get a good proportion of the population vaccinated.
Me too and, as it happens, do the people of New Zealand.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-54728717
I just hope that we see the light pretty soon.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-54728717
I just hope that we see the light pretty soon.
Last edited:
RNA viruses have a higher mutation rate than DNA viruses, though coronaviruses have better proof reading than many other RNA viruses including flu so their mutation rate is lower.
There have been numerous mutations so far though few are thought to significantly affect the Spike protein which is the primary target for immune recognition in most of the vaccines
There have been numerous mutations so far though few are thought to significantly affect the Spike protein which is the primary target for immune recognition in most of the vaccines
Yes how nice would it be if countries actually cooperated on other matters like this in the future.
looking at comments from our local health chief, we could even end up Tier 3. He thinks that we will be treated as Lincolnshire as a whole rather than North Lincs, South Lincs etc. That means that we will be grouped in with places like Boston with some of the highest rates per 100000.
There is a BBC Podcast running at the moment called "How to vaccinate the world", hosted by Tim Harford, who does the stats show More or Less. The most recent episode had an expert virologist who said that in the event of a mutation in the spike protein, it will take about 2 weeks to update the genetic code used in either the mRNA or the Oxford vaccines.
Podcast link
Podcast link
Thanks for the clarification.
In my opinion if ever there was an apt phrase its "Just because you can, doesn't mean you should."
They might as well just make it a free for all. The sensible people will be just that. The morons will behave however they want regardless of any rules anyway.
Come mid Jan we'll all be in tier 3 or worse. Just so people aren't grown up enough to accept that much like the rest of the year, Christmas isn't going to be their version of normal this year.
I liked the idea of a lockdown Christmas. It meant we didn't have the hassle of visiting anyone.
Come mid Jan we'll all be in tier 3 or worse. Just so people aren't grown up enough to accept that much like the rest of the year, Christmas isn't going to be their version of normal this year.
I liked the idea of a lockdown Christmas. It meant we didn't have the hassle of visiting anyone.
I understand that if you have relatives or visitors drop in unexpectedly, the police have the power to come round and force them to go home.
Is there a website where you can register for this service, and is it free or do you have to pay?
Is there a website where you can register for this service, and is it free or do you have to pay?