Golf Betting

Hong Kong to me looks like one of those markets that if you back the top 4; Rose 6/1 Johnson 9/1, Fitzpatrick 16/1 and McDowell 20/1 theres a very reasonable chance of picking the winner as the field isnt that strong.
Theres a fella called Chris Paisley 250/1 who's being well backed, never heard of him maybe course local pro??

Indeed, and short price winners don't interest Curls. ;) Sometimes I wonder if these big names can be bothered when the prize fund is $2 million? If I'm going to lump money on a Justin or a Dustin I need to know they want it. I've paired Streelman with a couple of guys, this is what I should have done with Grillo at the weekend.

Watch him miss the cut. lol.

No idea who Paisley is, very little info about him online, he was on the cut line to get his card before Portugal at position 110. Sometimes guys on the line really pull it out of the bag, most of the time they either get to 109 or 111 and we never hear about them either way. At those odds surely worth a small punt if you think they know something we don't... I'm out, spent my stake, I'm off to the Canaries for a week so won't be chasing it.
 
Shriners Open, TPC Summerlin, Las Vegas

The Shriners Hospitals for Children Open is one of those events that I find interesting to attempt to decipher. Plenty of renewals, masses of data and plenty of eagles and birdies. The course is pretty non-descript, but it's of resort nature and features massive green complexes which are pure bentgrass. It's a rarity as in as much that the course from tee-to-green is Bermudagrass, which plenty can't chip + scramble from. Scoring is scary low and rain in the build-up will only help that. It could also help the more powerful, but in-reality there should be plenty of roll on the fairways and the altitude here helps the shorter hitters.

With this in-mind I've gone down the route of straight from the tee, with an excellent short game. The ability to shoot low scores is critical, as is recent experience of contending performances. So I'm with Ryan Moore (managed to get 28s). Jason Bohn (40s), Brendon Todd (55s), Russell Henley (66s) and David Hearn (125s).
 
Going to give the Hong Kong a miss as its going to be on through the night. May invest Saturday evening before the final round and get up early to watch Rd 4.

PGA tour this week is going to be a birdie fest

Keegan Bradley 55/1
Charles Howell III 60/1
Brendon De Jonge 125/1
Geoff Ogilvy 250/1 - I dont expect anything from him but i cant 'not; back him unless something of miracle proportions happens!!
 
CIMB Classic - Kuala Lumpur G&CC

The CIMB Classic is a cracking PGA Tour tournament played on the West Course at Kuala Lumpur G&CC. The same course has been used for this co-sanctioned event with the Asian Tour since 2013 and has also been used by the European Tour for the Maybank Malaysian Open since 2010 which is played in our Spring.

The course is interesting as it's a short Par 72, with a tough set of Par 5s. Getting at a number of short Par 4s with wedge in-hand is therefore key. Paspalum surfaces benefit those who can play / putt well enough on Bermudagrass and the greens themselves are quite large for the length of the course.

Conditions though are always soft, with this year being no exception. Plenty of rain pre-event has deluged the course, with thunderstorms forecast throughout. Potential for delays is a reality, so early Thursday starters are a real advantage. Balls won't carry on fairways and clean and replace will be in action. Greens will be receptive so look for those who can play consistently well with a wedge + can get at the Par 4s and 5s.

On this basis I've gone for Paul Casey (28s), Danny Lee (28s) and Robert Streb (55s).
 
Watched Rose and Bjeergaard break free and needed Streelman to have a good third round but he stalled, so watched both those doubles roll away. Bjeergaard I had at 50/1 separately though so a small return.

Have a funny feeling about Poults. Not a great show this weekend but think the damp conditions will suit him. Couple of doubles on, nothing major as I'm on hols so can't be bothered to do my research :)
 
CIMB Classic - Kuala Lumpur G&CC

The CIMB Classic is a cracking PGA Tour tournament played on the West Course at Kuala Lumpur G&CC. The same course has been used for this co-sanctioned event with the Asian Tour since 2013 and has also been used by the European Tour for the Maybank Malaysian Open since 2010 which is played in our Spring.

The course is interesting as it's a short Par 72, with a tough set of Par 5s. Getting at a number of short Par 4s with wedge in-hand is therefore key. Paspalum surfaces benefit those who can play / putt well enough on Bermudagrass and the greens themselves are quite large for the length of the course.

Conditions though are always soft, with this year being no exception. Plenty of rain pre-event has deluged the course, with thunderstorms forecast throughout. Potential for delays is a reality, so early Thursday starters are a real advantage. Balls won't carry on fairways and clean and replace will be in action. Greens will be receptive so look for those who can play consistently well with a wedge + can get at the Par 4s and 5s.

On this basis I've gone for Paul Casey (28s), Danny Lee (28s) and Robert Streb (55s).
Really like Paul Casey for this one,he's showing good form,the par 5's wont be a problem for him nor will the conditions,my only concern is he has been a bit shaky in getting the job done at the end.I think if he can lead he will have a very good chance here.
 
Watched Rose and Bjeergaard break free and needed Streelman to have a good third round but he stalled, so watched both those doubles roll away. Bjeergaard I had at 50/1 separately though so a small return.

Have a funny feeling about Poults. Not a great show this weekend but think the damp conditions will suit him. Couple of doubles on, nothing major as I'm on hols so can't be bothered to do my research :)

I liked the stats you put up about Streelman last week but was too late to get him for a top twenty position. Eventually went for him to win his 3ball on Saturday and got lucky when Senden bogeyed the last two holes.
 
I've left the CIMB out this week on the fact I like to watch at least some of the action and it appears it'll be playing mostly thru the early hours.

On the European Tour I have selected a few to go to war with.

Lee Westwood 45s ...
Tyrell Hatton 90s...
Greg Bourdy 125s...
David horsey 125s...


Breeders cup this weekend and the nba started back up last night so some betting opportunities ahead for me as I have Friday to Monday alone with fiancee and 4 daughters off to a dance festival
 
The Sanderson Farms Championship is an established tournament in the south-east United States. It's opposite-field status (second category in my terminology) throws-up a total mixture of results. Rookies winning their first title, experienced winners getting the job done after a winless period and occasionally the weird and whacky like Woody Austin here in 2013 and Alex Cejka in Puerto Rico this term.

Champion Bermudagrass greens is the key this week, and in my opinion the course will play softer and longer, plus wind will be a strengthening factor as the tournament develops.

So I'm covering three angles. 1) Rookie - Patrick Rodgers win only 16/1 2) Experienced Non Winner - Graham Delaet 40/1 3) Bermuda winners without a win for a lengthy period - Glover 50/1, Stallings 66/1 Wagner 100/1.
 
The Sanderson Farms Championship is an established tournament in the south-east United States. It's opposite-field status (second category in my terminology) throws-up a total mixture of results. Rookies winning their first title, experienced winners getting the job done after a winless period and occasionally the weird and whacky like Woody Austin here in 2013 and Alex Cejka in Puerto Rico this term.

Champion Bermudagrass greens is the key this week, and in my opinion the course will play softer and longer, plus wind will be a strengthening factor as the tournament develops.

So I'm covering three angles. 1) Rookie - Patrick Rodgers win only 16/1 2) Experienced Non Winner - Graham Delaet 40/1 3) Bermuda winners without a win for a lengthy period - Glover 50/1, Stallings 66/1 Wagner 100/1.
I'm going this week with Kevin Streelman 33/1 way too big a price in this field,Tim Petrovic 300/1, Charlie Beljan 200/1 and Ricky Barnes at 80/1.
 
Not going with the WGC event this week as its on thru the night again

I have, however, had a few punts on some in the Sanderson Farms

Roberto Castro 66/1
Bo Van Pelt 66/1
Luke Guthrie 70/1

I dont expect any returns but may have a play on the 2balls/3balls over the weekend
 
Not going with the WGC event this week as its on thru the night again

I have, however, had a few punts on some in the Sanderson Farms

Roberto Castro 66/1
Bo Van Pelt 66/1
Luke Guthrie 70/1

I dont expect any returns but may have a play on the 2balls/3balls over the weekend

Looks like the weather is to clear up and they'll finish Monday. Hoping castro can regain his touch having not been on the course for well over a day n a half.
 
The weathers affected all the televised golf this weekend but hopefully they might show some play today, good luck with Castro he's still surely the guy to beat.
 
Ive backed Ricky Barnes whos 3 shots behind going into the last round, looks like about 20 players in contention now....

Poor finish from both our players in round 3.

Been following on my phone and will continue doing so as won't be home until 8pm by which point castro will be so far back it won't be worth switching on haha!
 
Mayakoba and only 2 PGA Tour tournaments left till a month off! Lovely. The OHL Classic is a fully fledged PGA Tour event close to Playa del Carmen on the Mexican coast. Played since 2007, the El Camaleon track is a sub 7,000 yard track designed by Greg Norman. Course form junkies should look at Norman's other design in San Antonio which certainly has links to previous winners here Charley Hoffman, John Huh and Johnson Wagner. Since it's move to November and OHL's $6million backing, the class of winner has certainly improved, but winners here need to be patient, excellent wind players, top ball-strikers and have the ability to make birdies on key Par 3s and Par 5s which need to be birdied. There are tough holes out there, so length off the tee helps, but it needs to be accurate. Fairways are lined by mangroves which generate double bogeys by the bucket load. But despite the wind and likely rain, a soft course will be scorable to those who can tame it.

I'm looking at different angles. Those with a desire to finish the season strong for access to Majors/WGCs seems plausible. So I'm including Brendan Steele (25/1) and Brian Harman (75/1) who are striking the ball beautifully at the moment. Steele deserves a win, and Harman is more off the radar. A course horse whose price has surprised me is Chris Stroud. A perennial non-winner he's looked btter in contention since 2013 and he loves El Camaleon, where brute power is negated.

I've also had a tentative punt on Brice Garnett, who played well last week in Mississippi and was 6th here last year at 150/1. Kyle Reifers came close and Aaron Baddeley is a huge danger if continues to hit more fairways and greens.
 
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