Coronavirus - how is it/has it affected you?

Physio mate topped himself this morning. I saw it coming. Posted it on here.

Lockdown meant I couldn't do s**t. 28 year old gone.

Sometimes words just don’t seem appropriate, thoughts with you at this time Dan

A good pal of mine, worked with him at Harworth pit for 10 years. His partners funeral tomorrow through Covid. Am not going for obvious reasons. Sent him best wishes and all that.
 
Physio mate topped himself this morning. I saw it coming. Posted it on here.

Lockdown meant I couldn't do s**t. 28 year old gone.

I haven't been active on the forum for a long time, but been keeping up with some of the threads - this one in particular.
Seeing the original post about your mate and the sad, sad update - all I can say is I'm so sorry for your experience.
I'm absolutely certain that had you been able to, you would have done all in your power to help your mate.
Please don't get down on yourself by thinking that you could have done something.

The original post - even without what has now happened, just hammers it home what so many people are going through.
Especially the fantastic NHS heroes who are working their backsides off, being on the frontline putting themselves at risk, AND the relentless horrors that they are seeing on a daily basis.
 
On a slight downer...its rapidly approaching the day when I will have lost 200 working days since the first lockdown last year...
Fortunately I've been getting the Govt grants but the bigger concern for me is the massive backlog of tests for the kids.
If we don't get going again until March the system will be about 6/7 months behind and some of the kids will have been waiting for over a year to take their driving test.
It'll take years to get back to normal.
Sorry to hear that, I thought I have seen driving schools around here, masked up and gloved up. Or is it just tests which are not taken?


I am actually thinking about getting a CBT, do they work at the moment?
I am looking for jobs slightly out of London, not fancying the commute in. A lot of money which is enough for a scooter and petrol with a much shorter commute time wise.
 
On a slight downer...its rapidly approaching the day when I will have lost 200 working days since the first lockdown last year...
Fortunately I've been getting the Govt grants but the bigger concern for me is the massive backlog of tests for the kids.
If we don't get going again until March the system will be about 6/7 months behind and some of the kids will have been waiting for over a year to take their driving test.
It'll take years to get back to normal.

My son had his practical originally booked for mid-Nov which obviously got cancelled.
Was then at the back of the queue for late March 2021, but managed to get a cancellation for end of December 2020 - cancelled.
Now it's back to end of April (if he's lucky!).

Really feel for him (and the thousands like him) - ok, not a big problem compared to the bigger picture, but this along with being messed around with regarding school & exams (was due to sit his BTECs) the other week which were supposedly still going ahead after Boris' announcement. Fortunately they too got cancelled, but only the day before he was due to sit them.
No wonder the younger generation are struggling with mental health!
 
Physio mate topped himself this morning. I saw it coming. Posted it on here.

Lockdown meant I couldn't do s**t. 28 year old gone.

Terrible news Dan, thoughts are with you.

Try to stay positive and strong during these tough times, if you need a chat just shout.

My pm’s are always open ??
 

Short version: They looked too soon. Needed to leave it another week.

Longer version:
This study was a case control study, which provides less persuasive data than a randomised controlled trial. You need to be certain that the controls are selected in a way that resembles the elements that matter. You may not even know what all of those factors are. In an RCT of adequate size, that is not a concern, because the unknown factors should be distributed evenly.

Second, I think they looked too soon. The text of the report says: "Then we looked to see what is the daily positivity rate... And we saw that there was no difference between vaccinated and unvaccinated until day 14 post-vaccination. But on day 14 post-vaccination, a drop of 33% in positivity was witnessed in the vaccinated group and not in the unvaccinated... this is really good news."

This suggests their primary analysis was on day 14. That is just after the lines separate. A week later it would have been much more convincing. Then after the booster, it jumps to 95%. Highly unlikely if 33% was the first shot ceiling. You can see the lines separate much more with time.

Third, sounds like they were looking at tests alone rather than tests and cases. Doing so captures a larger number, including those who were incubating when they got the shot, and asymptomatic, as well as false positives with old virus. This will dilute any perceived treatment effect. By the time of the second shot, that virus has cleared off and you get a clean treatment effect. In contrast, Pfizer required a PCR test AND characteristic symptoms.
 

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Sorry to hear that, I thought I have seen driving schools around here, masked up and gloved up. Or is it just tests which are not taken?


I am actually thinking about getting a CBT, do they work at the moment?
I am looking for jobs slightly out of London, not fancying the commute in. A lot of money which is enough for a scooter and petrol with a much shorter commute time wise.
There shouldn't be anything going on at all since this lockdown came in. Up to the lessons and tests were happening in T3 and below but not T4.
But since 5th Jan the only learners allowed on the road are those driving with someone from their household and only on an essential journey. No going to Tesco then taking the hour long route home when you're 5 minutes down the road, although I'm sure this happens.
Any instructor giving lessons now runs the risk of prosecution and potential removal of their licence to teach.
Motorbikes are off too as are Theory tests...the whole system has ground to a halt.
 
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