Coronavirus - how is it/has it affected you?

Ethan

Money List Winner
Joined
Jun 30, 2009
Messages
11,793
Location
Bearwood Lakes, Berks
Visit site
So at some point the risk has to be accepted. Mass testing stops and no isolation? I wonder what the criteria is for that. Number of daily deaths? Number of hospitalised people?

This happened with Spanish flu. Killed lots of people, and later waves were bad, but survivors developed an immunity and within a relatively short time, it really only affected the sick and elderly, and nowadays most people don't get flu symptoms, but may have antibodies for exposure.

Personally, I think the LFTs are a waste of time. We should maintain a degree of social distancing, masks etc, PCR anybody with symptoms but most of the rest is either unnecessary or false reassurance. Likewise isolate for PCR-positive or while awaiting results.

The case numbers are now even more unreliable because of limited testing capacity, so the test-positive rate is a better measure of the trend of cases. Hospitalisation Dan deaths are clearly critical but tell you about cases last week or the week before, so are too outdated to really keep policy ahead of the game.
 

road2ruin

Q-School Graduate
Joined
Jan 3, 2012
Messages
2,371
Location
Surrey
Visit site
Personally, I think the LFTs are a waste of time. We should maintain a degree of social distancing, masks etc, PCR anybody with symptoms but most of the rest is either unnecessary or false reassurance. Likewise isolate for PCR-positive or while awaiting results.

I’m not sure if this is what you meant however I agree with you about LFT’s. Stop testing healthy/symptomless people. If you feel unwell and it’s a Covid-esque symptom then isolate and get a PCR.
 

hovis

Tour Winner
Joined
Aug 13, 2010
Messages
6,265
Visit site
This happened with Spanish flu. Killed lots of people, and later waves were bad, but survivors developed an immunity and within a relatively short time, it really only affected the sick and elderly, and nowadays most people don't get flu symptoms, but may have antibodies for exposure.

Personally, I think the LFTs are a waste of time. We should maintain a degree of social distancing, masks etc, PCR anybody with symptoms but most of the rest is either unnecessary or false reassurance. Likewise isolate for PCR-positive or while awaiting results.

The case numbers are now even more unreliable because of limited testing capacity, so the test-positive rate is a better measure of the trend of cases. Hospitalisation Dan deaths are clearly critical but tell you about cases last week or the week before, so are too outdated to really keep policy ahead of the game.
Thanks for that
I can't say latteral flows are a waste of time though. I done one just as I was setting off for work (as per policy) and I noticed the faintest line. This stopped me going to work sitting shoulder to shoulder with 7 blokes and probably knocking a fire engine off the run. Pcr was possitve next day and the lateral flow now is a propa dark line ?
 

hovis

Tour Winner
Joined
Aug 13, 2010
Messages
6,265
Visit site
I’m not sure if this is what you meant however I agree with you about LFT’s. Stop testing healthy/symptomless people. If you feel unwell and it’s a Covid-esque symptom then isolate and get a PCR.
I was a 100% fine and got a possitve. The latteral flow saved my employer and family from a right ball ache
 

Ethan

Money List Winner
Joined
Jun 30, 2009
Messages
11,793
Location
Bearwood Lakes, Berks
Visit site
Thanks for that
I can't say latteral flows are a waste of time though. I done one just as I was setting off for work (as per policy) and I noticed the faintest line. This stopped me going to work sitting shoulder to shoulder with 7 blokes and probably knocking a fire engine off the run. Pcr was possitve next day and the lateral flow now is a propa dark line ?

It may be a zero sum game, though. I know doctors who have had patients who did an LFT instead of getting a PCR - Negative, go to work, whatever, get symptoms, PCR positive, but had a period of false reassurance during which they transmitted it to half the office.
 

Foxholer

Blackballed
Joined
Nov 16, 2011
Messages
24,160
Visit site
...
Personally, I think the LFTs are a waste of time. We should maintain a degree of social distancing, masks etc, PCR anybody with symptoms but most of the rest is either unnecessary or false reassurance. Likewise isolate for PCR-positive or while awaiting results.
..
Good, quick and relatively cheap way to encourage potential 'victims' to start the 'test' process. Availability is far better than PCR test!
Trying to think of equivalence....Triage philosophy? Provisional ball?

Used in hospitals - for those arriving with other issues? I doubt it.
 

hovis

Tour Winner
Joined
Aug 13, 2010
Messages
6,265
Visit site
It may be a zero sum game, though. I know doctors who have had patients who did an LFT instead of getting a PCR - Negative, go to work, whatever, get symptoms, PCR positive, but had a period of false reassurance during which they transmitted it to half the office.
Yeh I didn't think off that in all fairness. Even today I did a nasal one and I'm negative. I've done 3 a day of the throat ones (for work experiment) and all possitve. Then you've got the people that don't do them correctly either
 

road2ruin

Q-School Graduate
Joined
Jan 3, 2012
Messages
2,371
Location
Surrey
Visit site
Yeh I didn't think off that in all fairness. Even today I did a nasal one and I'm negative. I've done 3 a day of the throat ones (for work experiment) and all possitve. Then you've got the people that don't do them correctly either

I’ve seen threads on Twitter suggesting that the new LFT’s that are nose only don’t actually pick up the new variant or at least not nearly as accurately and when retested with the throat swab positives were being picked up far more regularly. This would make sense to me as I have friends who had numerous negative LFT’s before getting a positive PCR.
 

Foxholer

Blackballed
Joined
Nov 16, 2011
Messages
24,160
Visit site
I’m not sure if this is what you meant however I agree with you about LFT’s. Stop testing healthy/symptomless people. If you feel unwell and it’s a Covid-esque symptom then isolate and get a PCR.
As per my reply to Ethan.
I believe they do have value.
Early identification - as per Hovis.
Cheap way to encourage testing of 'potential' cases.
 

hovis

Tour Winner
Joined
Aug 13, 2010
Messages
6,265
Visit site
As per my reply to Ethan.
I believe they do have value.
Early identification - as per Hovis.
Cheap way to encourage testing of 'potential' cases.
I agree but I suppose for one person that it works for you get one idot that gets a false negative and goes round tesco sneezing on tesco shopping trolly handles
 

Ethan

Money List Winner
Joined
Jun 30, 2009
Messages
11,793
Location
Bearwood Lakes, Berks
Visit site
Good, quick and relatively cheap way to encourage potential 'victims' to start the 'test' process. Availability is far better than PCR test!
Trying to think of equivalence....Triage philosophy? Provisional ball?

Used in hospitals - for those arriving with other issues? I doubt it.

LFTs are good at identifying people who are true negative, but not as good at identifying people who are true positive. They are also often used badly, so someone who is true positive has a decent chance of testing negative and going about their business confident they are "clean". if you wanted complete capture of all true cases, the detection level would be set lower, so more people test LFT-positive, including some who then have a PCR negative and can be told to relax, but you don't miss any cases.
 

Foxholer

Blackballed
Joined
Nov 16, 2011
Messages
24,160
Visit site
I agree but I suppose for one person that it works for you get one idot that gets a false negative and goes round tesco sneezing on tesco shopping trolly handles
But that was/is likely to happen anyway, as they almost certainly wouldn't consider finding/having a PCR test in the first place.
 
Top