Why Rory won't win the masters?

I agree with the putting comment, Rory lacks consistency with the short stick and can be frustrating at times. Not that he's a bad putter but some days he just doesn't hole enough. He'll need a good putting week to have any chance.
 
Rory needs to block out all of the external "noise" around the Masters and turn up with his game plan in place and stick to it.

Expectations are high - but let's not forget that barring a pulled tee shot on the 10th in the not too distant past, he would most likely already have a Masters win under his belt.....
 
Seems a quite reasoned opinion, but not worth any more than anyone else's?

I don't think he'll win it either - though I'd love to see him do so. His putting just isn't constantly top-notch imo. And he's not in the best of form either - though that isn't always a great indicator.
 
It's all fair conjecture.

Personally I think Rory has a better chance of winning the Masters by not going into it on a winning streak. I think majors are won more often by the people in the chasing pack than they are by the people holding on to a run of winning form. Obviously there are exceptions but as a general observation I think it's true. He'd be under greater pressure ( and statistically more likely to fail because streaks have to end) if he'd won his events running up to the Masters. So right now, I think he's perfectly placed to win it.
 
I thought this thread was started to deliberately wind people up following the Tiger thread. Take the heat off Tiger for a while............ Interesting article along with the stats. Rory tends to be a hot and cold golfer, okay his lukewarm is a game we would all love but in terms of winning when he wins he wins in style. At the moment I don't see that swagger quite there. Unless he has a great first round I am not sure his game is sharp enough right now. Wonderful if he does but there are a number of other golfers who seem really on their game at the moment so this tournament is not going to fall into the lap of someone who is playing at 90-95% even if they are as good as he is. Makes for a cracking tournament though.
 
FairwayDodger said:
I was surprised by the stat on proximity to the hole on approach shots; we tend to think of Rory peppering pins with towering iron shots!
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I had a look at Rory's stat page on the PGA website. The 100-125yd stat is based on 9 shots.

I also just looked at his odds to win, which is 5/1 on the site I looked at.

"Why Rory won't win the Masters" sounds like a bold statement, but if the bookies are right (and they are far more often than pundits) then there's an 84% chance of being right.

I do agree that his putting is not always great. Some days it looks like he could play until it gets dark and he won't hole anything, but his best golf is so far above anyone else's (only my opinion) that he doesn't need to putt like Tiger of old to win.
 
bobmac said:
Apologies if this has been taken the wrong way.
Just close the thread if this has offended anyone
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I don't see how it could offend anyone. The article is a good starting point for a discussion, that is what forums are about. The post from GM seemed to encourage the discussion, see the second sentence with question marks repeated.
 
Rory had a 4 shot lead going into the final round before his blow up in 2011.
Surely that suggests that he has the game for Augusta.
Im not backing him to win it,but if he brings his A game then he's a worthy favourite & will take some beating.
 
FairwayDodger said:
I agree with the putting comment, Rory lacks consistency with the short stick and can be frustrating at times. Not that he's a bad putter but some days he just doesn't hole enough. He'll need a good putting week to have any chance.
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I agree with this, was talking to Karl and Wolfie along similar lines when we were playing on Sunday.

If his game is good enough that he's a long way clear like a couple of his majors to date then his putting might not stop him.

If it's tight and he's not on a streaky week with the putter I couldn't see him winning.

A lot of hype around him so he'll be doing well to win with the (even more than usual) focus on him next week..... Best thing for him would be if Tiger tees it up as would take some of the attention away.
 
Rory has a decent chance to win, but even at 4-1, that equates to a 1 in 3 chance, so there is also a 2 in 3 chance he won't.

I think Rory can certainly win it. A lot depends on getting a good start and the right sort of momentum.
 
He has been in position to win before admittedly he had a big collapse, but that appeared to be a mental thing, if his game can put him in the lead after 63 it is good enough to do it over 72 surely
 
Ethan said:
Rory has a decent chance to win, but even at 4-1, that equates to a 1 in 3 chance, so there is also a 2 in 3 chance he won't.

I think Rory can certainly win it. A lot depends on getting a good start and the right sort of momentum.
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Not sure your maths is correct, but I agree with your subsequent points. And he will have learnt a lot from throwing it away from a winning position.
 
If Rory is driving the ball well and is on his game then he will win imo
 
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