That's offside as well. The only time it wouldn't be offside is if the defender consciously kicks it back to the forward not realising he was there. As Swango said, it will be the ref's interpretation from the VAR replay, but you just cannot allow situations like that Spain/France one. Before long you'll have defenders hesitating to actually clear the ball just in case they only get a toe on it which plays someone offside. Then it will become commonplace like players trying to tackle with their hands behind their backs, which we've all accepted as normal now after some of the farcical handballs of the last five years.
As it stands it’s only not offside if the defending player makes a deliberate attempt to play the ball, whether he only reaches it with his toe or whatever is irrelevant.
This isn’t new this season, this has been in a couple of years now, the only clarification, change, has been since the Villa/City game.
I take it the Watkins goal in this one you disagree with?