Is Rory worth a punt?

shivas irons

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We know pretty soon the kids going to get it together but which week?,This week the fields not totally stella for the Valero Texas Open but Coral are offering 9-1 for Rory to win it.:eek:
 

Canary_Yellow

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I don't think he'll win it, but 9-1 is a decent price. He's not become a bad player and as you say, his form will recover before too long.
 

mally

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Got him at 28/1 two weeks before the USPGA when his head was not in the game, the bookies are keeping him at short odds so they don't get burnt again. Always worth a punt, thats why its called a gamble.
 

Big D 88

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I use Bet365 and they have him and Charl joint fav's at 9/1

Personally i dont see the betting value in him, however you are quite right that he will come good sooner rather than later.

For what its worth, i have got Poults (28/1), De jonge (50/1), Spieth (40/1) and Sueng-Yul Noh (100/1)

All E/W, not huge stakes, saving my dough for Aintree this week, and then the masters next week!!!!
 

stevek1969

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No value in that price to be honest fella, he'll come good he did last year with the same poor start. Always good bets to be had on a saturday i've picked up money on e/w bets on both tours for the last 6 weeks.
 

shivas irons

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No value in that price to be honest fella, he'll come good he did last year with the same poor start. Always good bets to be had on a saturday i've picked up money on e/w bets on both tours for the last 6 weeks.
If Rorys in the top 5 on Saturday he'll be odds on to win the tourney.
 

Fish

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Too short for a decent flutter, Poults at 28/1 is a good e/w bet or a little flag on the nose.
 

Big D 88

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No value in that price to be honest fella, he'll come good he did last year with the same poor start. Always good bets to be had on a saturday i've picked up money on e/w bets on both tours for the last 6 weeks.

Nothing like selecting a few golfers on a wednesday and seeing them in contention on a sunday

but agreed i usually end up re investing as my have gone wayward!
 

mally

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I have gone for:
Matt Kuchar at 33/1
Rickie Fowler at 50/1
Bill Haas at 66/1
Jim Furyk at 88/1

I look forward to laying more money down on either Friday or Saturday when none of my bets have made a mark, y never know though.
 

fundy

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If Rorys in the top 5 on Saturday he'll be odds on to win the tourney.

will not be odds on without leading , if he is I will be opposing for big numbers

fwiw i think the price isnt far off being right, i couldnt be a backer tho, id rather bet him at a shorter price with a decent round 1 under his belt personally, but also think he will be a decent lay if in contention over the weekend as the commentators will talk up him being back and he will without doubt be overbet to some degree

tournaments before the majors never easy betting fare, at least not for the guys at the top of the market as they may well be trying things out ahead of augusta and winning the tournament wont necessarily be their only priority (sort of week id rather back a few guys at bigger prices who winning a tourney is the be all and end all for). Only bet Ive had so far was a little EW tickle on Billy Horschel at the laughable opening quote of 80s (totally wrong price given how he played at the weekend just gone!)
 

stevek1969

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I have gone for:
Matt Kuchar at 33/1
Rickie Fowler at 50/1
Bill Haas at 66/1
Jim Furyk at 88/1

I look forward to laying more money down on either Friday or Saturday when none of my bets have made a mark, y never know though.
Thats the Masters prices fella.

Decent bets for this week are Freedie Jacobson 22/1 Harris English 66/1 and Bud Cauley 60/1
 

fundy

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Thats the Masters prices fella.

Decent bets for this week are Freedie Jacobson 22/1 Harris English 66/1 and Bud Cauley 60/1

If youre betting Harris English bet him 1st round leader not outright, has done so a few times last couple of years but doesnt have a top 3 to his name yet and doesnt look the best under pressure to me
 

fundy

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What odds will you give me then Steve ;)

Amazingly I can oppose him at 28s on the exchanges so no need to offer bigger lol. For a decent golfer he just doesnt win strokeplay events these days, almost as if he isnt wired for 72 hole strokeplay. Would love to see him win and prove me wrong, expect if he does it will be on a tough course with quick greens
 

Big D 88

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Utterly horrible price for a guy who has won once in 150 strokeplay starts on the PGA tour

But has finished in the each way places 12 times

(2 wins/ two 2nds/three 3rds/ five T4 or T5)

Thats makes it roughly 8% that he makes an each way place...which is better than 1 in 28 -

That makes it value to me!! bearing in mind this field is a lot weaker than most PGA events
 

fundy

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But has finished in the each way places 12 times

(2 wins/ two 2nds/three 3rds/ five T4 or T5)

Thats makes it roughly 8% that he makes an each way place...which is better than 1 in 28 -

That makes it value to me!! bearing in mind this field is a lot weaker than most PGA events


youre not getting 28/1 about the place part! you'll be getting about 1/4 or 1/5th of the 28/1 so max 7/1, 7/1 about an 8% likelihood with horrid value on the win part?
 

Big D 88

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youre not getting 28/1 about the place part! you'll be getting about 1/4 or 1/5th of the 28/1 so max 7/1, 7/1 about an 8% likelihood with horrid value on the win part?

No you're correct,

but what i am saying is you said 28/1 was awful value..when in fact you would make a return more than 1 in 28 times backing him each way
 
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